8

Run Johnny Run

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 54

Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

25/1, last of 7 in maiden at this course (7f) 14 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 18/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13218/03C8C8 @ Kenilworth 15/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13215/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 24/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13224/05C8C8 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13212/06C8C8 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1231/07C8C8 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1264/09C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Fairview?7th7th0
2026-07-01Fairview?6th6th0
2026-06-12Fairview?4th4th0
2026-05-24Kenilworth?8th8th0
2026-04-15Kenilworth?5th5th0
2026-03-18Durbanville?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0315/0424/0512/061/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength16%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/03/20268th33/10%0%0.00
15/04/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
24/05/20268th80/10%13%+0.13
12/06/20264th22/10%50%+0.50
01/07/20266th17/255%17%-0.39
04/09/20267th18/15%0%-0.05