7
Secret Eruption
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |