4
Straight Red
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 52
Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |