6

Witching Hour

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 47

Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. 10/1, sixth of 7 in maiden at this course (8f) 14 days ago. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 05/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1265/12C8C8 @ Fairview 19/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 130C8 @ Fairview 29/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 12029/12C8C8 @ Fairview 06/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y GS 128C8 @ Fairview 20/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12320/02C8C8 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132C8 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 11931/07C8C8 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 128C8 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1324/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Fairview?6th6th0
2026-08-28Fairview?4th4th0
2026-07-31Fairview?4th4th0
2026-05-29Fairview?5th5th0
2026-02-20Fairview?11th11th0
2026-02-06Fairview?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/126/0231/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength61%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/12/20255th5/287%67%-0.20
19/12/20255th7/282%56%-0.26
29/12/20257th3/184%14%-0.70
06/02/20266th7/163%44%-0.19
20/02/202611th11/142%0%-0.42
29/05/20265th5/287%33%-0.54
31/07/20264th28/10%67%+0.67
28/08/20264th5/174%57%-0.17
04/09/20266th9/153%17%-0.36