4
Global Thriller
3yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 70
Fairview · Racehorse Owners Association Plate (3 Year-Olds) · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |