7

Rocking In Rio
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 61
Fairview · Racehorse Owners Association Plate (3 Year-Olds) · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |