5
Rules Of Conduct
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 66
Fairview · Racehorse Owners Association Plate (3 Year-Olds) · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 1/3 | 98% | 75% | -0.23 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 89% | -0.07 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |