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Anotherdanceforme

4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 93

Fairview · Betway Friendly City Stakes · 1m 209y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/11

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. 5 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win here in July. Respectable 3¾ lengths sixth of 12 to Mocha Blend in Gr 2 (15/10) at Greyville (9.9f, good) 54 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength94%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today:
Class gap: +3.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Greyville 05/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS5/07C?C0 @ Fairview 03/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132C0 @ Kenilworth 08/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS8/11C?C1 @ Fairview 27/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASSC4 @ Fairview 20/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/03C4C0 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 132C1 @ Fairview 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m2f206y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS8/05C1C1 @ Fairview 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS26/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Greyville?6th1st+4
2026-07-10Fairview?1st-3th+4
2026-05-08Fairview?1st-3th+4
2026-04-10Fairview?1st1st0
2026-03-20Fairview?1st0th+1
2026-02-27Fairview?1st-3th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0727/028/0526/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength86%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
03/10/20251st1/12100%100%+0.00
08/11/20259th11/1094%11%-0.83
27/02/20261st1/699%100%+0.01
20/03/20261st3/1098%100%+0.02
10/04/20261st1/1099%100%+0.01
08/05/20261st1/699%100%+0.01
10/07/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
26/07/20266th6/492%55%-0.38