1
Zatara Magic
7yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 88
Fairview · Betway Friendly City Stakes · 1m 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength59%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2025-12-29 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 25/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/12/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 31/01/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.32 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 17% | -0.73 |