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Golden Palm

4yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 87

Fairview · Betway Pinnacle Stakes (F & M) · 5f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Good fourth of 8 in minor event (56/100) at this C&D 35 days ago. Must improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.1
Today:
Class gap: +3.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC2 @ Turffontein 29/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f169y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS29/03C2C1 @ Fairview 30/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Greyville 27/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f210y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS27/07C?C1 @ Fairview 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Kenilworth 06/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS6/12C?C0 @ Turffontein 07/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Turffontein 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m209y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS7/03C?C0 @ Turffontein 04/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13214/08C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Fairview?4th5th−1
2026-04-04Turffontein?6th1st+4
2026-03-07Turffontein?2nd-3th+4
2026-02-07Turffontein?3rd-2th+4
2025-12-06Kenilworth?6th1st+4
2025-10-24Fairview?1st-3th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0324/107/0314/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
30/05/20251st2/999%100%+0.01
27/07/20251st1/499%100%+0.01
24/10/20251st3/1098%100%+0.02
06/12/20256th1/195%55%-0.40
07/02/20263rd4/596%85%-0.11
07/03/20262nd7/282%89%+0.07
04/04/20266th9/488%44%-0.44
14/08/20264th8/1597%57%-0.40