4
Sports Fan
4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 97
Fairview · Betway Pinnacle Stakes (F & M) · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 06/12/2025 | 14th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 16/01/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 13% | -0.43 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |