9
Chief Runner
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 45
Fairview · Betway Mr 66 Handicap · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength58%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 10/04/2026 | 17th | 33/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 01/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |