5
Lovely Dancer
4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 60
Fairview · Betway Mr 66 Handicap · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |