2

Shori Kai

4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 22

Fairview · Betway Mr 66 Handicap · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

80/1, twelfth of 13 in handicap at Vaal (7.2f, good) 50 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 05/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1265/09C8C8 @ Fairview 14/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 6f211y Std 128C5 @ Fairview 16/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS16/01C5C0 @ Fairview 23/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 128C7 @ Fairview 06/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS6/02C7C6 @ Fairview 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 120 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 117 · HIGHER CLASS29/05C6C8 @ Fairview 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 131C7 @ Vaal 30/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS30/07C7projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Vaal?12th11th+1
2026-07-03Fairview?8th9th0
2026-05-29Fairview?8th7th+1
2026-05-08Fairview?4th3rd+1
2026-02-06Fairview?7th7th+0
2026-01-23Fairview?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0923/0129/0530/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength58%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
14/11/20255th18/15%0%-0.05
16/01/202610th22/10%10%+0.10
23/01/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
06/02/20267th9/276%57%-0.19
08/05/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
29/05/20268th11/142%30%-0.12
03/07/20268th12/137%36%-0.00
30/07/202612th40/10%8%+0.08