1
Winter In London
4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 67
Fairview · Betway Mr 66 Handicap · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | 4 | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | 5 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | 4 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-04-17 | Greyville | 4 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Greyville | 4 | 13th | 9th | +3 |
| 2026-02-15 | Scottsville | 4 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 53% | -0.23 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 15/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/03/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |