7

Winteronthegreen

5yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 52

Fairview · Betway Mr 66 Handicap · 5f 212y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

92%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Didn't need to improve to win 12-runner handicap (15/4) at this C&D 49 days ago. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Durbanville 15/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS15/10C5C5 @ Kenilworth 15/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f103y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASSC8 @ Fairview 06/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 4f214y GS 1176/02C8C6 @ Fairview 06/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y 115 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 03/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS3/04C7C7 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Std 117 · HIGHER CLASS5/06C7C7 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 120 · HIGHER CLASS31/07C7projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Fairview?1st1st+0
2026-07-01Fairview?4th4th+0
2026-06-05Fairview?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-11Fairview?2nd2nd+0
2026-04-03Fairview?6th6th+0
2026-03-06Fairview?9th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/106/035/0631/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength91%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20253rd15/261%75%+0.14
15/11/20259th17/255%11%-0.44
06/02/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
06/03/20269th5/174%11%-0.63
03/04/20266th28/10%62%+0.62
11/05/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12
05/06/20263rd7/163%82%+0.19
01/07/20264th3/184%40%-0.44
31/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24