8
Clara Lume'
3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 37
Fairview · Betway Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 4f 214y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |