1
Endeared
4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 74
Fairview · Betway Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 4f 214y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 5th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/02/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |