4
Fateful Love
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 60
Fairview · Betway Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 4f 214y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: +3.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 5th | -2th | +6 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | ? | 4th | -3th | +6 |
| 2026-04-04 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 1st | +5 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +13.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |