2
Iced Marmalade
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 68
Fairview · Betway Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 4f 214y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
68%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 12/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 05/09/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 36% | -0.19 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |
| 03/02/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 08/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |