3
Malibu Ice
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 71
Fairview · Betway Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 4f 214y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength19%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | ? | 6th | -1th | +6 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -23.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |