7
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4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 47
Fairview · Betway Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 4f 214y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength15%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Durbanville | ? | 8th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 04/02/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 18/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |