1
Come On Poppi
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 71
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
60%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |