2
Hit Music
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 52
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |