4
Kissed By Karma
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 65
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2024 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/11/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/06/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 07/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 23/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |