5
Let Loose Lucy
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 31
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
Delivery trend +22.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |