3
List
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 68
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |