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8

Loyalist

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 56

Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 29/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark29/08/2025 · OR 76 par29/08C9OR 76C9 @ Gulfstream 26/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 59 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 59 parC9 @ Gulfstream 17/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 49 · 6f 126 · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 49 par17/04C9OR 49C9 @ Gulfstream 10/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 40 · 1m70y 126 · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 40 parC9 @ Gulfstream 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 45 · 1m110y Fas 126 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 45 par21/06C9OR 45C9 @ Gulfstream 11/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m70y Fm 126 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 50 parC9 @ Gulfstream 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 53 · 1m70y 126 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 53 par26/07C9OR 53C9 @ Gulfstream 17/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 57 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark17/08/2026 · OR 57 parC9 @ Gulfstream 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 55 · 1m70y 124 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 55 par31/08C9OR 55projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-08-17Gulfstream?5th5th0
2026-07-26Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-07-11Gulfstream?7th7th0
2026-06-21Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-05-10Gulfstream?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0810/0526/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +8.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20257th7/163%0%-0.63
26/03/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
17/04/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
10/05/20264th33/10%40%+0.40
21/06/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71
11/07/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
26/07/20262nd20/10%83%+0.83
17/08/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
31/08/20262nd14/126%80%+0.54