7
Jost A Chance Yadi
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 59
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
71%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength87%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +2.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |