7
Iron The Money
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 70
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 01/03/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 7/4 | 91% | 14% | -0.77 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |