5
Love Hate
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 02/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 11/01/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |