4
Santal
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 79
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |