5
Ching Ching
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 68
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 01/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |