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Rockin Empire

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 57

Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

34%

Place Prob

34%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m Sft 118 · HIGHER CLASS28/06C6C9 @ Gulfstream 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 54 · 1m70y Fas 120 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 54 par12/07C9OR 54C9 @ Colonial Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 57 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 57 par6/09C9OR 57projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Colonial Downs?9th9th0
2026-07-12Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-06-28Colonial Downs?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0612/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
12/07/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
06/09/20269th25/10%27%+0.27