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5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 65
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 15/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 08/06/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 06/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |