8
Judge Judith
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 78
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |