Moretastic
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 82
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-02-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |