Musical Design
7yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 40% | -0.55 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |