1
Winrooski
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 4/5 | 96% | 20% | -0.76 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 1/1 | 95% | 0% | -0.95 |