Greenfield Cougar
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 100
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
67%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/11/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |