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Softly Dreaming

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 86

Gulfstream · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Gulfstream 29/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 12229/01C7C7 @ Gulfstream 27/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 59 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 59 parC7 @ Gulfstream 26/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 49 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 49 par26/03C7OR 49C9 @ Gulfstream 16/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 49 · 5f110y Fas 121 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 49 parC6 @ Gulfstream 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 55 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 55 par9/05C6OR 55C6 @ Gulfstream 12/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 65 parC6 @ Gulfstream 03/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 75 par3/08C6OR 75C6 @ Gulfstream 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 80 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 80 par31/08C6OR 80projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2026-08-03Gulfstream?2nd1st+1
2026-06-12Gulfstream?1st0th+1
2026-05-09Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1
2026-04-16Gulfstream?2nd4th−2
2026-03-26Gulfstream?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0116/043/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
27/02/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
26/03/20265th14/126%33%+0.07
16/04/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
09/05/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71
12/06/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
03/08/20262nd16/116%86%+0.70
31/08/20264th6/168%40%-0.28