3

Viking Quest

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 89

Gulfstream · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 14/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS14/11C6C6 @ Gulfstream 21/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/12/2025 · OR 90 parC6 @ Gulfstream 18/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 90 par18/01C6OR 90C9 @ Gulfstream 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 87 · 5f Fm 122 · below its mark08/02/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Gulfstream 12/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 87 · 5f Fm 122 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 87 par12/03C7OR 87C7 @ Gulfstream 24/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 88 · 5f Fm 120 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Gulfstream 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 87 · 7f110y Gd 120 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 87 par15/05C7OR 87C7 @ Gulfstream 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Gulfstream 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 86 · 5f Fm 120 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 86 par1/08C7OR 86projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-06-05Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-05-15Gulfstream?6th6th0
2026-04-24Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-03-12Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-02-08Gulfstream?3rd5th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/118/0215/051/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength64%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20256th40/10%55%+0.55
21/12/20255th12/137%64%+0.27
18/01/20269th25/10%27%+0.27
08/02/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15
12/03/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
24/04/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
15/05/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
05/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
01/08/20262nd11/893%67%-0.26