5

Cajun Empress

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 58

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 25/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS25/03C6C6 @ Gulfstream 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 66 · 7f110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 66 par18/04C6OR 66C6 @ Gulfstream 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 70 par17/05C6OR 70C6 @ Gulfstream 14/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 68 par14/06C6OR 68C9 @ Gulfstream 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 55 · 1m Gd 126 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 55 par12/07C9OR 55C9 @ Gulfstream 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 57 · 5f Fm 125 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 57 par24/08C9OR 57projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-07-12Gulfstream?5th5th0
2026-06-14Gulfstream?9th6th+3
2026-05-17Gulfstream?6th3rd+3
2026-04-18Gulfstream?4th1st+3
2026-03-25Tampa Bay Downs?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0318/0417/0514/0612/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength87%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/03/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
18/04/20264th33/10%50%+0.50
17/05/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
14/06/20269th40/10%0%0.00
12/07/20265th15/261%20%-0.41
24/08/20264th33/10%57%+0.57