4
The Coromoto
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 75
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |