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Culture

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 71

Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

69%

Place Prob

43%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 14/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 12014/06C6C6 @ Gulfstream 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 50 · 6f 120 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 50 par12/07C6OR 50C9 @ Gulfstream 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 60 par3/08C9OR 60projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Gulfstream?1st5th−4
2026-07-12Gulfstream?5th6th−1
2026-06-14Gulfstream?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0612/073/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
12/07/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
03/08/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04