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8

Dakota's Lil Auror

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 81

Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 23/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 66 · 6f Gd 120 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 66 par23/01C8OR 66C8 @ Gulfstream 07/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 72 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark07/02/2026 · OR 72 parC7 @ Gulfstream 19/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark19/03/2026 · OR 65 par19/03C7OR 65C7 @ Gulfstream 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 69 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Gulfstream 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 70 · 6f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 70 par2/05C5OR 70C5 @ Gulfstream 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 72 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 72 parC7 @ Gulfstream 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 67 · 7f Gd 122 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 67 par21/06C7OR 67C5 @ Gulfstream 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 78 · 6f 120 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 78 parC5 @ Gulfstream 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 81 · 6f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 81 par22/08C5OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-07-25Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-06-21Gulfstream?3rd5th−2
2026-05-23Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2026-05-02Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-04-16Gulfstream?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0116/0421/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength75%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
07/02/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
19/03/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
16/04/20263rd16/116%67%+0.51
02/05/20262nd12/137%80%+0.43
23/05/20264th25/10%25%+0.25
21/06/20263rd8/158%50%-0.08
25/07/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
22/08/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17