2
Fly Life
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 73
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-01-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |