Battle Of Dover
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |