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Giftedbydesign
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength16%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 24/08/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |