6
Noble Tiger
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 90
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 11/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |